Yes, it definitely looks like there’s a problem. Your median Stability for this deck is 4.57 months, when your median interval is 4.78 years. At 92% DR, that shouldn’t be happening. But your Stability graph is counting less than 800 cards in your deck, even though you’ve got over 2K active. I can also see in that Card Info, the card doesn’t have a memory state.
This one had me stumped for a bit, so I took a look at your collection on AnkiWeb. The things that usually cure the missing-memory-state problem weren’t working (optimizing, Helper add-on rescheduling, etc.), but then I saw that you’re using an ignore-before date to exclude most of your review history. You were optimizing based on only 25% of your cards. That appears to be what was causing most of the inconsistencies in the data – "Ignore cards reviewed before" question - #2 by Danika_Dakika .
But getting all your history back does show that this is probably the root of your problem. Your parameters are cranked up for incredibly easy material, because you hardly ever grade cards Again. So – is this incredibly easy material? If it is, then there’s less we need to try to fix.
Before you try to cure your collection, I can give you a preview of what things might look like, because I’ve already done the first few things I would have recommended for you to start with –
- Run
Tools > Check database.
- Remove ignore-before date and reoptimize.
- Select all cards in this deck and use the FSRS Helper add-on for
Cards > FSRS: Update memory state and reschedule.
I’m sure there are things you’d like to change about this – but at least it gives you a baseline.
You can see that your Intervals and Stability start to make sense [even if they are still not what you want]. Your Retention and Answer Buttons show the issue better – you use Again 10-15% for on Mature cards, but you rarely use it for Young cards, and almost never for Learn/Relearn cards.
New parameters – optimized on 19K reviews: 3.5976, 13.3256, 33.1026, 71.8613, 6.2772, 0.7398, 3.5431, 0.0011, 1.9881, 0.1459, 0.9230, 1.6242, 0.0012, 0.5351, 1.7320, 0.2768, 2.0188, 0.6346, 0.5978, 0.0100, 0.4888.
That specific card is scheduled the same, but now it has a memory state. [Ignore the current interval – it’s from what you manually set.] A bunch of those cards with overly-long intervals have been rescheduled into the past, so you’ve got a lot of backlog to work through. But it’s really just moving those cards from sitting out there in the future as already forgotten time-bombs, to where you can actually deal with the problem now. [And we can talk about ways to manage a backlog efficiently.]
To start talking about adjustments –
- What is going on with your grading history? How were you using Again, if not correctly? Were you using it differently in Learn/Relearn than for Review cards?
- Is this deck really easy for you?
- Can you handle having a backlog of ~850 cards, that you’ll need to chip away at?
- Do you have other presets/decks with problematic review history? Or do you have other ones with similar material where the review history is more accurate?